I’ve always thought that the practice of giving specific draft grades immediately after the fact is somewhat silly. For example, if Johnny Manziel happens to be a superstar quarterback, then the Browns’ draft will look great. If he’s a bust, pundits will also likely declare the entire draft a bust. Based on this type of unpredictability, I have decided to direct this post at the moves (or lack of moves) made by teams in conjunction with their picks. Below are two of the more interesting drafts and my take on them.
Generate advanced nfl statsThird downs in the 2012 season
Team 1st Dn% # Pass 1st% Pass # Run 1st% Rush New England Patriots 48.7 166 44.0 60 61.7 Denver Broncos 45.1 161 47.2 52 38.5 Atlanta Falcons 45.1 169 46.7 35 37.1
Use stats to predict upcoming plays4th and goal from the 1 yard line
Play Type Probability TD Stopped FG FG Miss Pass 25% 46% 54% Rush 47% 43% 57% FG 28% 100% 0%
Analyze the nfl standingsEasiest schedule, 2012
Team Record Win% Opp Win% Atlanta Falcons 13 - 3 0.813 0.422 Cincinnati Bengals 10 - 6 0.625 0.438 Indianapolis Colts 11 - 5 0.688 0.441
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